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Politicalverse indicators

Methods before
mystique.

Every indicator has a plain-language definition. These measures describe final election results; none is a forecast.

PV-01DERIVED · v1.0.0

National swing

5.76 ppTotal vote-share movement, 2018–2022
PV-02DERIVED · v1.0.0

Electoral momentum

SD +3.01 ppLargest national gain in 2022
PV-03DERIVED · v2.0.0

Geographic breadth

SD 289/290Municipalities with a higher vote share, 2018–2022
PV-04DERIVED · v1.0.0

Turnout trend

-2.97 pp84.21% turnout in 2022
PV-01

National swing

Half the sum of absolute party vote-share changes across the eight parliamentary parties and Other.

5.76 pp
PV-02

Electoral momentum

The largest percentage-point gain between the final 2018 and 2022 national results.

SD +3.01 pp
PV-03

Geographic breadth

Counts comparable municipalities where each party's final Riksdag vote share increased from 2018 to 2022, without weighting municipalities by population. The displayed party improved in the most municipalities.

SD 289/290
PV-04

Turnout trend

Percentage-point change in final national turnout between the 2018 and 2022 Riksdag elections.

-2.97 pp
Derived · v1.0.0 · System measure5.33

Effective number of parties

Inverse Herfindahl index using national vote shares. A higher value means votes are distributed across more parties.

Derived · v1.0.0 · Concentration50.87%

Top-two vote share

The combined final vote share of the two largest parties in the 2022 Riksdag election.